Exercise · ZW-CONFIDENCE-INTERVAL-009 · ★★★ Advanced
What does «\(95\,\%\) confidence» mean?
Choose one option.
A If sampling were repeated many times, about \(95\,\%\) of the intervals built this way would contain the parameter B There is a probability of \(0.95\) that \(\mu\) lies in the computed interval C \(95\,\%\) of the data fall inside the interval D The parameter varies and falls in the interval \(95\,\%\) of the time
Show answer A. If sampling were repeated many times, about \(95\,\%\) of the intervals built this way would contain the parameter
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Explanation Confidence describes the procedure. Once computed, the interval either contains \(\mu\) or it does not; \(\mu\) is fixed and what is random is the interval.
A confidence interval \([L,U]\) is a range of values, computed from the sample \(X\), that contains the parameter \(\theta\) with a preset probability \(P\), the confidence level \(1-\alpha\).
\[P\big(L(X)\le\theta\le U(X)\big)=1-\alpha\]
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