Exercise · ZW-EXPECTED-VALUE-004 · ★★☆ Intermediate

In a game you win 10 pesos with probability 0.2 and lose 2 with probability 0.8. What is the expected gain, in pesos?

Choose one option.

Show answer
  • B. \(0.4\)

Explanation

\(E=10(0.2)+(-2)(0.8)=2-1.6=0.4\). Forgetting the sign of the loss gives 3.6, and adding the values without weights gives 8.

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Review the concept: Expected value

The expectation \(E[X]\) of a random variable \(X\) is the average of its possible values, each weighted by its probability.

\[\begin{aligned}E[X]&=\sum_x x\,p(x)\\ E[X]&=\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}x\,f(x)\,dx\end{aligned}\]

More practice problems: expected value

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