Exercise · ZW-CONDITIONAL-PROBABILITY-005 · ★☆☆ Basic

An urn has 5 red and 3 blue balls. Two are drawn without replacement. Given that the first was red, what is the probability that the second is also red?

Choose one option.

Show answer
  • B. 4/7

Explanation

After drawing a red ball, 7 remain and 4 of them are red: \(4/7\). The 5/8 ignores that the urn changed.

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Review the concept: Conditional probability

The conditional probability of \(A\) given \(B\), \(P(A\mid B)\), is the probability that \(A\) occurs when \(B\) is already known to have occurred; it is computed within the space reduced to \(B\).

\[P(A\mid B)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)},\qquad P(B)>0\]

More practice problems: conditional probability

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